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Table 1 Logistic Regression analyses examining demographic and clinical predictors of outcome at MHRT

From: Predictors of Mental Health Review Tribunal (MHRT) outcome in a forensic inpatient population: a prospective cohort study

Predictor

Section Upheld

(n = 51)

Discharged

(n = 28)

OR

(95% CI)

P Value

Demographic factors

Age (years): mean (SD)

38.8 (11.5)

36.9 (12.6)

0.99

(0.95 to 1.03)

0.48

Female sex: n (%)

2 (3.9)

3 (10.7)

2.94

(0.46 to 18.75)

0.25

Ethnicity: n (%)

 White British

13 (26.0)

6 (23.1)

(ref)

-----

-----

 African or Caribbean

14 (28.0)

11 (42.3)

1.70

(0.49 to 5.93)

0.40

 Other

23 (46.0)

9 (34.6)

0.85

(0.25 to 2.92)

0.79

Restricted MHA section: n (%)

30 (61.2)

26 (96.3)

16.47

(2.06 to 131.59)

0.008

Leave status: n (%)

 No leave

17 (34.0)

2 (8.0)

(ref)

-----

-----

 Ground leave

4 (8.0)

2 (8.0)

4.25

(0.45 to 40.01)

0.21

 Escorted community leave

18 (36.0)

5 (20.0)

2.36

(0.40 to 13.84)

0.34

 Unescorted community leave

11 (22.0)

16 (64.0)

12.36

(2.37 to 64.64)

0.003

Clinical factors

Diagnosis: n (%)

 Schizophrenia, schizoaffective, and other psychotic disorder

41 (80.4)

21 (75.0)

(ref)

-----

-----

 PD, bipolar, and other

10 (19.6)

7 (25.0)

1.37

(0.46 to 4.11)

0.59

PD present: n (%)

 No

21 (42.9)

16 (59.3)

(ref)

-----

-----

 Possible/likely

14 (28.6)

3 (11.1)

0.28

(0.07 to 1.15)

0.08

 Yes

14 (28.6)

8 (29.6)

0.75

(0.25 to 2.22)

0.60

Psychopathy present: n (%)

12 (24.5)

4 (15.4)

0.56

(0.16 to 1.95)

0.36

Recent acute illness: n (%)

21 (42.9)

4 (15.4)

0.24

(0.07 to 0.81)

0.02

RC recommended discharge: n (%)

3 (6.3)

18 (66.7)

30.00

(7.28 to 123.66)

<0.001

  1. Note. OR: odds ratio; n: subgroup sample size; CI: confidence interval; SD: standard deviation; MHA: Mental Health Act; PD: personality disorder; RC: responsible clinician. Acute illness: includes depression, mania, and psychosis. Missing data: ethnicity (n = 3); restricted MHA section (n = 3); leave status (n = 4); PD present (n = 2); psychopathy present (n = 2); recent episode of acute illness (n = 4); RC recommended discharge (n = 4). For all variables, ‘current’ and ‘recent’ is relative to the time of the initial census