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Table 2 Scale scores at baseline and subsequent violence and self harm

From: Susceptibility (risk and protective) factors for in-patient violence and self-harm: prospective study of structured professional judgement instruments START and SAPROF, DUNDRUM-3 and DUNDRUM-4 in forensic mental health services

 

Harm to others

Harm to self

 

AUC

95% CI of AUC

P

OR

95% CI of OR

p

AUC

95% CI of AUC

p

OR

95% CI of OR

p

  

lower

upper

  

lower

upper

  

lower

upper

  

lower

upper

 

SAPROF*

0.847

0.721

0.974

0.001

0.775

0.676

0.888

0.001

0.766

0.600

0.931

0.019

0.848

0.738

0.973

0.019

START-S*

0.776

0.653

0.900

0.001

0.903

0.845

0.964

0.002

0.644

0.454

0.833

0.207

0.957

0.891

1.028

0.227

START-V

0.823

0.707

0.940

0.001

1.139

1.057

1.226

0.001

0.654

0.456

0.853

0.175

1.052

0.978

1.131

0.176

HCR-H

0.836

0.747

0.924

0.001

1.226

1.033

1.454

0.020

0.822

0.683

0.960

0.001

1.178

0.998

1.391

0.053

HCR-C

0.794

0.693

0.951

0.001

1.530

1.186

1.974

0.001

0.814

0.617

1.0

0.001

1.603

1.116

2.303

0.011

HCR-R

0.809

0.693

0.924

0.001

1.712

1.265

2.317

0.001

0.790

0.658

0.921

0.001

1.502

1.077

2.094

0.016

HCR-dynamic

0.802

0.656

0.948

0.001

1.309

1.128

1.519

0.001

0.803

0.625

0.980

0.001

1.279

1.067

1.533

0.008

HCR-20 total

0.872

0.783

0.961

0.001

1.236

1.102

1.386

0.001

0.881

0.789

0.973

0.001

1.201

1.058

1.363

0.005

S-RAMM-B

0.766

0.636

0.895

0.002

1.488

1.154

1.918

0.002

0.655

0.459

0.852

0.172

1.248

0.939

1.659

0.126

S-RAMM-C

0.741

0.610

0.872

0.005

1.403

1.105

1.782

0.005

0.813

0.670

0.957

0.006

1.619

1.163

2.253

0.004

S-RAMM-F

0.669

0.526

0.812

0.05

1.108

0.951

1.290

0.190

0.619

0.451

0.787

0.295

1.075

0.894

1.293

0.444

S-RAMM dynamic

0.729

0.593

0.866

0.008

1.136

1.012

1.295

0.031

0.760

0.600

0.921

0.022

1.141

0.998

1.308

0.054

S-RAMM total

0.838

0.756

0.919

0.001

1.196

1.059

1.350

0.004

0.818

0.727

0.909

0.005

1.145

1.014

1.293

0.029

GAF*

0.813

0.651

0.974

0.001

0.909

0.860

0.960

0.001

0.855

0.649

1.0

0.002

0.908

0.850

0.970

0.004

PANSS positive

0.752

0.607

0.898

0.003

1.146

1.050

1.252

0.002

0.764

0.535

0.993

0.02

1.161

1.038

1.299

0.009

PANSS negative

0.639

0.488

0.791

0.106

1.060

0.985

1.141

0.119

0.656

0.472

0.840

0.170

1.057

0.961

1.163

0.256

PANSS general

0.725

0.574

0.877

0.009

1.073

1.016

1.134

0.012

0.823

0.673

0.972

0.005

1.101

1.027

1.180

0.007

PANSS total

0.711

0.577

0.866

0.014

1.035

1.009

1.062

0.009

0.770

0.569

0.971

0.017

1.042

1.008

1.078

0.015

PANSS SAR

0.832

0.730

0.934

0.001

1.509

1.217

1.872

0.001

0.846

0.728

0.965

0.002

1.408

1.118

1.772

0.004

DUNDRUM-1 therapeutic security

0.743

0.603

0.883

0.007

1.238

1.060

1.447

0.007

0.712

0.495

0.929

0.063

1.226

1.012

1.486

0.038

DUNDRUM-3 programme completion

0.832

0.727

0.937

0.001

1.294

1.097

1.525

0.002

0.750

0.596

0.904

0.028

1.184

1.003

1.396

0.046

DUNDRUM-4 recovery

0.728

0.605

0.853

0.011

1.226

1.029

1.461

0.023

0.713

0.557

0.905

0.043

1.227

0.977

1.540

0.079

  1. Area under the curve (AUC) from receiver operating characteristics and unadjusted odds ratios (OR) for 100 in-patients. Six month prospective study, 13 incidents of violence to others, 7 incidents of self harm. Variables marked * (SAPROF, START-S, GAF) have AUC calculated such that smaller test scores indicate higher risk of the adverse events. Unadjusted odds ratios (OR) are given with Wald p values.