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Table 10 DUNDRUM-1 triage security items, DUNDRUM-3 programme completion items and DUNDRUM-4 recovery items related to outcomes

From: Susceptibility (risk and protective) factors for in-patient violence and self-harm: prospective study of structured professional judgement instruments START and SAPROF, DUNDRUM-3 and DUNDRUM-4 in forensic mental health services

 

Harm to others 12/94

Harm to self 7/94

 

AUC

95% CI

p

OR

95% CI

p

AUC

95% CI

p

OR

95% CI

P

  

lower

upper

  

lower

upper

  

lower

upper

  

lower

upper

 
 

DUNDRUM-1 triage security

TS1 Seriousness of violence

.454

.275

.634

.610

1.012

0.436

2.347

0.978

.365

.133

.596

.235

0.769

0.344

1.721

0.523

TS2 Seriousness of self-harm

.627

.477

.776

.158

1.278

0.858

1.904

0.227

.665

.506

.824

.148

1.373

0.832

2.265

0.215

TS3 Immediacy of risk of violence

.587

.385

.790

.330

1.517

0.969

2.376

0.069

.701

.459

.944

.078

1.646

0.931

2.909

0.087

TS4 Immediacy of risk of suicide/ self harm

.665

.505

.824

.066

1.545

0.870

2.744

0.138

.704

.528

.881

.073

1.506

0.727

3.121

0.270

TS5 Specialist forensic need

.630

.491

.769

.147

1.239

0.520

2.950

0.629

.623

.459

.788

.280

0.734

0.287

1.879

0.519

TS6 Absconding / eloping

.586

.397

.775

.336

1.239

0.520

2.950

0.629

.499

.235

.764

.994

0.734

0.287

1.879

0.519

TS7 Preventing access

.640

.484

.797

.118

1.926

0.888

4.179

0.097

.526

.321

.732

.818

1.162

0.462

2.923

0.750

TS8 Victim sensitivity/public confidence issues

.504

.280

.727

.968

1.265

0.394

4.060

0.693

.596

.307

.886

.400

1.265

0.394

4.060

0.693

TS9 Complex Risk of Violence

.686

.539

.833

.038

3.324

1.154

9.576

0.026

.644

.455

.832

.208

2.464

0.691

8.781

0.164

TS10 Institutional behaviour

.793

.645

.940

.001

2.665

1.158

6.134

0.021

.787

.662

.912

.012

2.665

1.158

6.134

0.021

TS11 Legal process

.454

.272

.636

.610

2.757

1.427

5.324

0.003

.438

.203

.672

.584

0.479

0.084

2.723

0.407

 

DUNDRUM-3 programme completion

PC1 Physical health

.692

.522

.861

.033

2.078

1.066

4.050

0.032

.617

.383

.850

.307

1.529

0.717

3.258

0.272

PC2 Mental health

.803

.697

.909

.001

4.898

1.646

14.576

0.004

.801

.672

.931

.008

5.175

1.192

22.467

0.028

PC3 Drugs and Alcohol

.771

.619

.923

.002

2.469

1.252

4.871

0.009

.663

.442

.885

.152

1.566

0.808

3.033

0.184

PC4 Problem behaviours

.662

.536

.787

.072

2.041

1.004

4.148

0.049

.677

.525

.830

.120

2.212

0.821

5.958

0.116

PC5 Self-care and activities of daily living

.752

.618

.886

.005

2.978

1.378

6.437

0.006

.705

.502

.909

.072

2.203

0.934

5.197

0.071

PC6 Education, Occupation and Creativity

.817

.682

.951

.000

3.708

1.733

7.936

0.001

.775

.637

.913

.016

2.588

1.145

5.849

0.022

PC7 Family and Social Networks

.698

.544

.852

.027

1.906

1.073

3.386

0.028

.620

.402

.837

.293

1.456

0.750

2.827

0.267

 

DUNDRUM-4 recovery

RC1 Stability

.765

.642

.889

.003

2.493

1.263

4.923

0.008

.760

.619

.902

.022

2.627

1.034

6.674

0.042

RC2 Insight

.649

.511

.788

.096

1.614

0.921

2.828

0.095

.622

.464

.779

.287

1.456

0.728

2.913

0.289

RC3 Rapport and Working Alliance

.676

.535

.817

.050

2.053

1.014

4.157

0.046

.670

.527

.813

.136

2.075

0.832

5.180

0.118

RC4 Leave

.623

.481

.765

.170

1.600

0.890

2.876

0.117

.594

.398

.789

.412

1.406

0.690

2.863

0.348

RC5 HCR-20 Dynamic Items

.671

.539

.803

.057

3.891

0.736

20.571

0.110

.695

.546

.845

.087

1.109

1.029

1.198

0.043

RC6 Victim Sensitivity Issues

.657

.478

.835

.081

1.500

0.886

2.540

0.132

.695

.461

.928

.088

1.666

0.804

3.451

0.170