AUC | 95% confidence interval | p | Odds ratio (OR) | 95% confidence interval for OR | p | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AUC | Lower | Upper | Lower | Upper | ||||
HCR-20 Historical items | ||||||||
H1 (Previous violence) | 0.500 | 0.314 | 0.686 | 1.000 | 0.261 | - | - | 0.001 |
H2 (Young age at first violent incident) | 0.553 | 0.361 | 0.746 | 0.575 | 0.684 | 0.227 | 2.062 | 0.500 |
H3 (Relationship instability) | 0.749 | 0.612 | 0.886 | 0.009 | 0.337 | 0.137 | 0.831 | 0.018 |
H4 (Employment problems) | 0.745 | 0.598 | 0.892 | 0.010 | 0.294 | 0.115 | 0.747 | 0.010 |
H5 (Substance use) | 0.555 | 0.372 | 0.739 | 0.561 | 0.794 | 0.386 | 1.652 | 0.544 |
H6 (Major mental illness) | 0.500 | 0.314 | 0.686 | 1.000 | 0.261 | 0.001 | ||
H7 (Psychopathy) | - | - | - | - | ||||
H8 (Early maladjustment) | 0.634 | 0.453 | 0.815 | 0.160 | 0.531 | 0.233 | 1.211 | 0.132 |
H9 (Personality disorder) | 0.549 | 0.368 | 0.731 | 0.603 | 0.622 | 0.146 | 2.651 | 0.521 |
H10 (Prior supervision failure) | 0.667 | 0.470 | 0.863 | 0.080 | 0.403 | 0.170 | 0.957 | 0.039 |
HCR-20 Clinical items | ||||||||
C1 (Lack of insight) | 0.779 | 0.625 | 0.934 | 0.003 | 0.147 | 0.042 | 0.513 | 0.003 |
C2 (Negative attitudes) | 0.645 | 0.488 | 0.802 | 0.127 | 0.193 | 0.027 | 1.398 | 0.104 |
C3 (Active symptoms of major mental illness) | 0.722 | 0.585 | 0.858 | 0.019 | 0.236 | 0.066 | 0.837 | 0.025 |
C4 (Impulsivity) | 0.576 | 0.405 | 0.746 | 0.424 | 0.341 | 0.053 | 2.189 | 0.257 |
C5 (Unresponsiveness to treatment) | 0.760 | 0.600 | 0.921 | 0.006 | 0.195 | 0.058 | 0.653 | 0.008 |
HCR-20 Risk items | ||||||||
R1 (Plans lack feasibility) | 0.719 | 0.580 | 0.857 | 0.021 | 0.139 | 0.020 | 0.940 | 0.043 |
R2 (Exposure to destabilisers) | 0.548 | 0.373 | 0.723 | 0.611 | 0.602 | 0.186 | 1.942 | 0.395 |
R3 (Lack of personal support) | 0.628 | 0.463 | 0.793 | 0.178 | 0.368 | 0.103 | 1.317 | 0.124 |
R4 (Non-compliance with remediation attempts). | 0.485 | 0.303 | 0.666 | 0.873 | 0.920 | 0.316 | 2.683 | 0.879 |
R5 (Stress). | 0.571 | 0.387 | 0.755 | 0.454 | 0.644 | 0.229 | 1.813 | 0.405 |